The National Weather Service says the chance of tropical cyclone development is 80 percent within the next 48 hours for the southern Gulf of Mexico. At this time, there is a 90% chance of formation into a tropical depression in the next 5 days. Meanwhile, the developing system over the Gulf of Mexico this week will need to be watched more closely over the next four days around Florida and the southeastern U.S. Current observations and satellite data have indicated that a broad low pressure area is centered near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary. This system is expected to move into the Caribbean and eventually weaken later this week.
Computer forecast models take the system northward, but from there it's highly uncertain.
It is forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico this week and will have a high chance to develop as well.
There's another tropical system brewing in the Atlantic as well.
The disturbance is expected to be a tropical storm when it moves through the Windward Islands and eastern Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.
Rain totals could reach up to 4 inches across south Alabama this week, raising flooding concerns especially near the coast.
Hurricane season officially began on June 1. The most likely scenario is for a weak and highly disorganized tropical storm to slowly develop by early next week.
The next two hurricane names would be Bret and Cindy. One located in the western Atlantic has already been given the (new for 2017) designation of Potential Tropical Cyclone #2 by NHC.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Mouth of the Pearl River.
It is not yet classified a "Tropical Storm" because it doesn't have a closed surface circulation.